Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga CF
Home
62%
Draw
23%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 43%BTTS: 41%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 12
Valencia CF vs Real Madrid Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 7 Nov, 20:00 (GMT)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Valencia CF win15%
Draw21%
Real Madrid win64%
- Predicted score
- 0–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 45%
- BTTS yes
- 50%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 78%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 32%
- BTTS no
- 50%
- Expected goals
- 0.86 – 2.01
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Valencia CF's home attacking output as weaker than the Primera Division baseline. The model credits Real Madrid with an above-average away defensive record. Real Madrid carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. Real Madrid arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–211.5%
- 0–111.4%
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.8%
- 0–37.7%
- 1–36.6%
- 0–05.6%
- 1–04.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Valencia CF | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 8 |
| Points per match | 0.67 | 2.25 |
| Goals per match | 0.67 | 2.38 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 2 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 11% | 75% |
Valencia CF recent form
LWLDD
Real Madrid recent form
LWWLW
Recent form
Valencia CF
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded
- Dvs Athletic Club0–0
- Dat Real Racing Club de Santander2–2
- Lvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol2–3
- Wat Deportivo Alavés1–0
- Lat Sevilla FC0–1
Real Madrid
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 8 conceded
- Wat AS Roma4–3
- Wvs Villarreal CF1–0
- Lat Atlético Madrid1–2
- Wat Elche CF3–2
- Wvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid4–1
Team news
Real Madrid
- Endrick sends new Real Madrid message after Man United link and Jose Mourinho claim
- Manchester United have spent £50m on a 'wild' signing they probably didn't need
- VAR leaves Man United with a 10-man squad against Atletico Madrid
- Man United to 'spy' on Atletico Madrid player as transfer mission exposed
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 17 October 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 681
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.3%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.0%
- Exact score
- 10.4%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol
Home
47%
Draw
23%
Away
30%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 63%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs CA Osasuna
Home
65%
Draw
19%
Away
16%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Málaga CF vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 59%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.