Primera Division · Matchweek 10

Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga CF Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 23 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Deportivo Alavés win69%
Draw20%
Málaga CF win11%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Under 2.5 goals
52%
BTTS yes
40%
Over 1.5 goals
73%
Over 3.5 goals
27%
BTTS no
60%
Expected goals
1.98 – 0.63

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects fewer away goals given Deportivo Alavés's home defensive numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.6%
  • 2–014.5%
  • 3–09.6%
  • 1–19.1%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–07.4%
  • 3–16.0%
  • 4–04.7%

Team comparison

StatisticDeportivo AlavésMálaga CF
Matches played67
Points per match1.330.43
Goals per match1.330.43
Goals conceded per match1.001.71
Home / away goals scored61
Home / away goals conceded38
Last 5 points72
Last 5 goals scored72
Last 5 goals conceded59
Win percentage33%0%

Deportivo Alavés recent form

WWLLD

Málaga CF recent form

LDDLL

Recent form

Deportivo Alavés

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 5 conceded

  • Dat Athletic Club0–0
  • Lvs Valencia CF0–1
  • Lat Real Racing Club de Santander1–2
  • Wvs CA Osasuna5–2
  • Wvs Villarreal CF1–0

Málaga CF

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat Getafe CF0–1
  • Lvs Villarreal CF1–3
  • Dat RC Celta de Vigo1–1
  • Dvs Levante UD0–0
  • Lat Real Madrid0–4

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 2 October 2026
Last updated: 2 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.