Primera Division · Matchweek 8

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 10 Oct, 13:00 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win42%
Draw24%
Athletic Club win34%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Under 2.5 goals
44%
BTTS yes
59%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Over 3.5 goals
34%
BTTS no
41%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.37

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Athletic Club with an above-average away defensive record.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 1–27.8%
  • 0–17.3%
  • 2–06.5%
  • 2–26.1%
  • 0–05.3%

Team comparison

StatisticRayo Vallecano de MadridAthletic Club
Matches played66
Points per match1.331.33
Goals per match1.671.17
Goals conceded per match2.331.00
Home / away goals scored62
Home / away goals conceded42
Last 5 points78
Last 5 goals scored96
Last 5 goals conceded133
Win percentage33%33%

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid recent form

LWLWD

Athletic Club recent form

LWWDD

Recent form

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 13 conceded

  • Dat CA Osasuna1–1
  • Wvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona2–1
  • Lat Real Madrid1–4
  • Wvs Real Racing Club de Santander3–2
  • Lat Barcelona2–5

Athletic Club

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 3 conceded

  • Dvs Deportivo Alavés0–0
  • Dvs Elche CF1–1
  • Wvs Atlético Madrid3–0
  • Wat RC Celta de Vigo2–0
  • Lat Barcelona0–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.