Primera Division · Matchweek 8

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 9 Dec, 19:00 (GMT)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win42%
Draw24%
Athletic Club win34%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Under 2.5 goals
44%
BTTS yes
59%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Over 3.5 goals
34%
BTTS no
41%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.37

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Athletic Club with an above-average away defensive record.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 1–27.8%
  • 0–17.3%
  • 2–06.5%
  • 2–26.1%
  • 0–05.3%

Team comparison

StatisticRayo Vallecano de MadridAthletic Club
Matches played1011
Points per match1.201.45
Goals per match1.401.36
Goals conceded per match1.901.00
Home / away goals scored94
Home / away goals conceded76
Last 5 points58
Last 5 goals scored58
Last 5 goals conceded65
Win percentage30%36%

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid recent form

DDLWL

Athletic Club recent form

DLWWD

Recent form

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lat Real Sociedad de Fútbol0–1
  • Wvs RC Celta de Vigo3–0
  • Lvs Elche CF0–3
  • Dat Getafe CF1–1
  • Dat CA Osasuna1–1

Athletic Club

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 5 conceded

  • Dat CA Osasuna1–1
  • Wvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol2–1
  • Wvs Getafe CF4–0
  • Lat Levante UD1–3
  • Dat Valencia CF0–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.