Primera Division · Matchweek 13

CA Osasuna vs Málaga CF Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 22 Nov, 17:30 (GMT)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 13
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

CA Osasuna win50%
Draw28%
Málaga CF win22%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
36%
Under 2.5 goals
64%
BTTS yes
40%
Over 1.5 goals
63%
Over 3.5 goals
17%
BTTS no
60%
Expected goals
1.35 – 0.78

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees CA Osasuna's home attacking output as weaker than the Primera Division baseline. Málaga CF have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–016.1%
  • 1–112.5%
  • 0–011.9%
  • 2–010.8%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–24.9%
  • 3–04.9%

Team comparison

StatisticCA OsasunaMálaga CF
Matches played1212
Points per match1.000.42
Goals per match1.000.75
Goals conceded per match1.921.92
Home / away goals scored53
Home / away goals conceded411
Last 5 points42
Last 5 goals scored66
Last 5 goals conceded1011
Win percentage25%0%

CA Osasuna recent form

LWLLD

Málaga CF recent form

DLDLL

Recent form

CA Osasuna

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 10 conceded

  • Dvs Athletic Club1–1
  • Lat RC Deportivo La Coruña1–2
  • Lat Sevilla FC0–2
  • Wvs Real Racing Club de Santander2–0
  • Lat Real Betis Balompié2–5

Málaga CF

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lvs Real Racing Club de Santander1–2
  • Lat Real Betis Balompié1–2
  • Dat Deportivo Alavés1–1
  • Lvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol2–5
  • Dvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 1 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.