Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs RC Deportivo La Coruña
Home
35%
Draw
27%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 14
Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 28 Nov, 20:00 (GMT)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sat 28 Nov, 21:00 (CET)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 14
- Venue
- Madrid, Spain
United Matchday prediction
Real Madrid win92%
Draw6%
Deportivo Alavés win2%
- Predicted score
- 3–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 80%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 20%
- BTTS yes
- 40%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 93%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 62%
- BTTS no
- 60%
- Expected goals
- 3.79 – 0.53
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Real Madrid, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Real Madrid's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Real Madrid, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 3–012.3%
- 4–011.6%
- 2–09.7%
- 5–08.8%
- 3–16.5%
- 4–16.2%
- 6–05.6%
- 2–15.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Real Madrid | Deportivo Alavés |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 12 | 11 |
| Points per match | 2.50 | 0.91 |
| Goals per match | 2.58 | 1.09 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.83 | 1.55 |
| Home / away goals scored | 17 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 11 |
| Last 5 points | 15 | 2 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 13 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 2 | 11 |
| Win percentage | 83% | 18% |
Real Madrid recent form
WWWWW
Deportivo Alavés recent form
LLDLD
Recent form
Real Madrid
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 4 conceded
- Wat Valencia CF3–0
- Wat PAE AEK3–2
- Wat Real Racing Club de Santander3–0
- Wat Barcelona2–1
- Wvs RB Leipzig4–1
Deportivo Alavés
0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 11 conceded
- Dat Sevilla FC0–0
- Lat Barcelona1–6
- Dvs Málaga CF1–1
- Lat RC Celta de Vigo1–2
- Lvs Atlético Madrid1–2
Team news
Real Madrid
- Arsenal's Martin Zubimendi denies wanting to leave amid Atlético Madrid links
- Real Madrid pushing for JJ Gabriel as saga continues - Manchester United Academy Notebook
- JJ Gabriel comment ‘shocks Real Madrid’ as concern raised about Man United star’s dad
- Transfer rumors, news: Atlético Madrid weigh move for Jack Grealish
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Valencia CF
Home
47%
Draw
26%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 49%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Home
80%
Draw
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Away
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CA Osasuna vs Málaga CF
Home
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Draw
28%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.