Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs RC Deportivo La Coruña
Home
35%
Draw
27%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 13
Real Madrid vs RC Celta de Vigo Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 21 Nov, 20:00 (GMT)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sat 21 Nov, 21:00 (CET)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 13
- Venue
- Madrid, Spain
United Matchday prediction
Real Madrid win80%
Draw15%
RC Celta de Vigo win5%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 50%
- BTTS yes
- 31%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 75%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 28%
- BTTS no
- 69%
- Expected goals
- 2.27 – 0.42
High confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Real Madrid have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model credits RC Celta de Vigo with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Real Madrid's home defensive numbers. Recent results also favour Real Madrid, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–017.5%
- 1–015.4%
- 3–013.2%
- 4–07.5%
- 2–17.4%
- 0–06.8%
- 1–16.5%
- 3–15.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Real Madrid | RC Celta de Vigo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 12 | 12 |
| Points per match | 2.50 | 1.08 |
| Goals per match | 2.58 | 0.83 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| Home / away goals scored | 17 | 1 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 15 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 13 | 2 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 2 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 83% | 17% |
Real Madrid recent form
WWWWW
RC Celta de Vigo recent form
DWDLD
Recent form
Real Madrid
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 4 conceded
- Wat Valencia CF3–0
- Wat PAE AEK3–2
- Wat Real Racing Club de Santander3–0
- Wat Barcelona2–1
- Wvs RB Leipzig4–1
RC Celta de Vigo
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 4 conceded
- Dvs Levante UD0–0
- Lat Rayo Vallecano de Madrid0–3
- Dvs Real Betis Balompié0–0
- Wvs Deportivo Alavés2–1
- Dat Elche CF0–0
Team news
Real Madrid
- Arsenal's Martin Zubimendi denies wanting to leave amid Atlético Madrid links
- Real Madrid pushing for JJ Gabriel as saga continues - Manchester United Academy Notebook
- JJ Gabriel comment ‘shocks Real Madrid’ as concern raised about Man United star’s dad
- Transfer rumors, news: Atlético Madrid weigh move for Jack Grealish
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 31 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Valencia CF
Home
47%
Draw
26%
Away
27%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 49%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Málaga CF
Home
50%
Draw
28%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 36%BTTS: 40%
High confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés
Home
92%
Draw
6%
Away
2%
- Predicted score: 3–0Over 2.5: 80%BTTS: 40%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.