Primera Division
RC Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés
Home
50%
Draw
27%
Away
23%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 44%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 11
Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 1 Nov, 20:00 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Athletic Club win47%
Draw23%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol win30%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS yes
- 63%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 83%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 40%
- BTTS no
- 37%
- Expected goals
- 1.79 – 1.41
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Athletic Club's home attacking output as weaker than the Primera Division baseline. Real Sociedad de Fútbol have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. Real Sociedad de Fútbol carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–07.3%
- 1–27.3%
- 2–06.5%
- 2–26.5%
- 0–15.8%
- 3–15.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Athletic Club | Real Sociedad de Fútbol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 8 |
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.63 |
| Goals per match | 1.17 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.88 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 50% |
Athletic Club recent form
LWWDD
Real Sociedad de Fútbol recent form
DWLWW
Recent form
Athletic Club
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 3 conceded
- Dvs Deportivo Alavés0–0
- Dvs Elche CF1–1
- Wvs Atlético Madrid3–0
- Wat RC Celta de Vigo2–0
- Lat Barcelona0–2
Real Sociedad de Fútbol
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded
- Wvs RC Deportivo La Coruña3–2
- Wat Valencia CF3–2
- Lvs Atlético Madrid0–3
- Wat Elche CF3–2
- Dvs RC Celta de Vigo0–0
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 11 October 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 596
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.0%
- BTTS accuracy
- 56.7%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.2%
- Exact score
- 11.1%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga CF
Home
62%
Draw
23%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 43%BTTS: 41%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Elche CF
Home
46%
Draw
22%
Away
33%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 70%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
RC Celta de Vigo vs Real Betis Balompié
Home
44%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.