Primera Division · Matchweek 9

RC Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 18 Oct, 15:15 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

RC Celta de Vigo win50%
Draw27%
Deportivo Alavés win23%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
41%
Under 2.5 goals
59%
BTTS yes
44%
Over 1.5 goals
67%
Over 3.5 goals
20%
BTTS no
56%
Expected goals
1.42 – 0.88

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Deportivo Alavés with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given RC Celta de Vigo's home defensive numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.2%
  • 1–112.5%
  • 2–010.1%
  • 0–010.0%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 1–25.5%
  • 3–04.8%

Team comparison

StatisticRC Celta de VigoDeportivo Alavés
Matches played1211
Points per match1.080.91
Goals per match0.831.09
Goals conceded per match0.831.55
Home / away goals scored94
Home / away goals conceded611
Last 5 points62
Last 5 goals scored24
Last 5 goals conceded411
Win percentage17%18%

RC Celta de Vigo recent form

DWDLD

Deportivo Alavés recent form

LLDLD

Recent form

RC Celta de Vigo

1W 4D 0L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 2 conceded

  • Dat Elche CF0–0
  • Wvs Real Racing Club de Santander5–0
  • Dvs Málaga CF1–1
  • Dat Getafe CF1–1
  • Dat Real Sociedad de Fútbol0–0

Deportivo Alavés

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lvs Atlético Madrid1–2
  • Dat Athletic Club0–0
  • Lvs Valencia CF0–1
  • Lat Real Racing Club de Santander1–2
  • Wvs CA Osasuna5–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.