Primera Division · Matchweek 9

RC Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 18 Oct, 15:15 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

RC Celta de Vigo win46%
Draw27%
Deportivo Alavés win27%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Under 2.5 goals
57%
BTTS yes
48%
Over 1.5 goals
69%
Over 3.5 goals
22%
BTTS no
52%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.00

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Deportivo Alavés with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given RC Celta de Vigo's home defensive numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–012.7%
  • 0–19.1%
  • 0–09.1%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 2–08.9%
  • 1–26.4%
  • 0–24.6%

Team comparison

StatisticRC Celta de VigoDeportivo Alavés
Matches played76
Points per match1.001.33
Goals per match1.141.33
Goals conceded per match0.861.00
Home / away goals scored72
Home / away goals conceded53
Last 5 points67
Last 5 goals scored77
Last 5 goals conceded45
Win percentage14%33%

RC Celta de Vigo recent form

LDDDW

Deportivo Alavés recent form

WWLLD

Recent form

RC Celta de Vigo

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs Real Racing Club de Santander5–0
  • Dvs Málaga CF1–1
  • Dat Getafe CF1–1
  • Dat Real Sociedad de Fútbol0–0
  • Lvs Athletic Club0–2

Deportivo Alavés

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 5 conceded

  • Dat Athletic Club0–0
  • Lvs Valencia CF0–1
  • Lat Real Racing Club de Santander1–2
  • Wvs CA Osasuna5–2
  • Wvs Villarreal CF1–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.