Primera Division · Matchweek 10

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Elche CF Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win48%
Draw21%
Elche CF win31%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
72%
Under 2.5 goals
28%
BTTS yes
71%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
Over 3.5 goals
51%
BTTS no
29%
Expected goals
2.08 – 1.66

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Elche CF's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–18.2%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–26.8%
  • 3–15.9%
  • 2–05.2%
  • 1–05.0%
  • 3–24.9%

Team comparison

StatisticRayo Vallecano de MadridElche CF
Matches played67
Points per match1.330.71
Goals per match1.671.57
Goals conceded per match2.332.43
Home / away goals scored67
Home / away goals conceded46
Last 5 points74
Last 5 goals scored910
Last 5 goals conceded1311
Win percentage33%14%

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid recent form

LWLWD

Elche CF recent form

LLDLW

Recent form

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 13 conceded

  • Dat CA Osasuna1–1
  • Wvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona2–1
  • Lat Real Madrid1–4
  • Wvs Real Racing Club de Santander3–2
  • Lat Barcelona2–5

Elche CF

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 11 conceded

  • Wat RCD Espanyol de Barcelona3–1
  • Lvs Real Madrid2–3
  • Dat Athletic Club1–1
  • Lvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol2–3
  • Lat Real Racing Club de Santander2–3

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 October 2026
Last updated: 3 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
511
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.7%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.