Primera Division · Matchweek 10

Atlético Madrid vs RC Deportivo La Coruña Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 24 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Kick-off (local)
Sat 24 Oct, 21:00 (CEST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
Madrid, Spain

United Matchday prediction

Atlético Madrid win60%
Draw20%
RC Deportivo La Coruña win20%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Under 2.5 goals
35%
BTTS yes
62%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Over 3.5 goals
43%
BTTS no
38%
Expected goals
2.18 – 1.18

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Atlético Madrid's home scoring output above the Primera Division average. The model credits RC Deportivo La Coruña with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Atlético Madrid's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–18.9%
  • 2–08.2%
  • 1–07.5%
  • 3–17.1%
  • 3–06.0%
  • 2–25.8%
  • 1–25.3%

Team comparison

StatisticAtlético MadridRC Deportivo La Coruña
Matches played77
Points per match2.291.43
Goals per match2.291.43
Goals conceded per match1.001.14
Home / away goals scored105
Home / away goals conceded34
Last 5 points128
Last 5 goals scored128
Last 5 goals conceded56
Win percentage71%29%

Atlético Madrid recent form

WLWWW

RC Deportivo La Coruña recent form

WWDLD

Recent form

Atlético Madrid

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wvs Real Madrid2–1
  • Wvs CA Osasuna4–0
  • Wat Real Sociedad de Fútbol3–0
  • Lat Liverpool FC1–2
  • Lat Athletic Club0–3

RC Deportivo La Coruña

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dvs Real Betis Balompié1–1
  • Lvs Sevilla FC0–1
  • Dat Getafe CF1–1
  • Wat Villarreal CF3–2
  • Wvs Valencia CF3–1

Team news

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 October 2026
Last updated: 3 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
511
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.7%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.