Ligue 1 · Matchweek 3

Racing Club de Lens vs FC Lorient Prediction

Sat 5 Sept, 16:15

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 5 Sept, 16:15 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Racing Club de Lens win62%

Draw20%

FC Lorient win18%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 61%
Under 2.5 goals: 39%
BTTS yes: 56%

Over 1.5 goals: 82%
Over 3.5 goals: 38%
BTTS no: 44%
Expected goals: 2.10 – 1.03

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Racing Club de Lens, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. FC Lorient have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–19.9%
2–09.6%
1–19.4%
1–09.2%
3–17.0%
3–06.8%
2–25.1%
1–24.9%

Team comparison

Statistic	Racing Club de Lens	FC Lorient
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.80	1.00
Goals per match	1.80	1.00
Goals conceded per match	1.80	1.20
Home / away goals scored	5	2
Home / away goals conceded	3	2
Last 5 points	4	5
Last 5 goals scored	9	5
Last 5 goals conceded	9	6
Win percentage	20%	20%

Racing Club de Lens recent form

WLLDL

FC Lorient recent form

DLWDL

Recent form

Racing Club de Lens

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 6 conceded

Lat RC Strasbourg Alsace1–2
Wvs AJ Auxerre5–2
Wat Olympique Lyonnais4–0
Lvs Paris Saint-Germain0–2
Wvs FC Nantes1–0

FC Lorient

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 6 conceded

Lvs ES Troyes AC1–2
Dat OGC Nice0–0
Lvs Le Havre AC0–2
Wat FC Metz4–0
Dat Paris Saint-Germain2–2

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Sept, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.