Ligue 1 · Matchweek 1

Racing Club de Lens vs AJ Auxerre Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 22 Aug, 16:15 (BST)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Racing Club de Lens win61%
Draw21%
AJ Auxerre win18%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Under 2.5 goals
40%
BTTS yes
56%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Over 3.5 goals
37%
BTTS no
44%
Expected goals
2.05 – 1.04

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Racing Club de Lens have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model credits AJ Auxerre with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Racing Club de Lens's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–19.7%
  • 2–09.6%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 3–16.8%
  • 3–06.6%
  • 2–25.2%
  • 1–25.0%

Team comparison

StatisticRacing Club de LensAJ Auxerre
Matches played55
Points per match0.801.20
Goals per match1.801.40
Goals conceded per match1.802.40
Home / away goals scored53
Home / away goals conceded38
Last 5 points46
Last 5 goals scored97
Last 5 goals conceded912
Win percentage20%40%

Racing Club de Lens recent form

WLLDL

AJ Auxerre recent form

LLLWW

Recent form

Racing Club de Lens

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wat Olympique Lyonnais4–0
  • Lvs Paris Saint-Germain0–2
  • Wvs FC Nantes1–0
  • Dat OGC Nice1–1
  • Dat Stade Brestois 293–3

AJ Auxerre

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wat Lille OSC2–0
  • Wvs OGC Nice2–1
  • Wvs Angers SCO3–1
  • Lat Olympique Lyonnais2–3
  • Dat AS Monaco FC2–2

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 22 Aug, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.