Serie A · Matchweek 1

Parma Calcio 1913 vs Cagliari Calcio Prediction

Sat 22 Aug, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 22 Aug, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Serie A
Round: Matchweek 1
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Parma Calcio 1913 win32%

Draw28%

Cagliari Calcio win40%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 41%
Under 2.5 goals: 59%
BTTS yes: 47%

Over 1.5 goals: 68%
Over 3.5 goals: 21%
BTTS no: 53%
Expected goals: 1.09 – 1.24

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Parma Calcio 1913's home attacking output as weaker than the Serie A baseline. Cagliari Calcio have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Cagliari Calcio arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

1–113.2%
0–112.1%
1–010.6%
0–09.8%
1–28.1%
0–27.5%
2–17.2%
2–05.8%

Team comparison

Statistic	Parma Calcio 1913	Cagliari Calcio
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.80	2.40
Goals per match	0.80	1.00
Goals conceded per match	1.40	0.40
Home / away goals scored	3	4
Home / away goals conceded	3	1
Last 5 points	4	12
Last 5 goals scored	4	5
Last 5 goals conceded	7	2
Win percentage	20%	80%

Parma Calcio 1913 recent form

LLDLW

Cagliari Calcio recent form

WLWWW

Recent form

Parma Calcio 1913

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 6 conceded

Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio1–0
Lat Como 19070–1
Lvs AS Roma2–3
Lat Inter Milan0–2
Wvs AC Pisa 19091–0

Cagliari Calcio

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 6 conceded

Wat AC Milan2–1
Wvs Torino FC2–1
Lvs Udinese Calcio0–2
Dat Bologna FC 19090–0
Wvs Atalanta BC3–2

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 22 Aug, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.