Serie A · Matchweek 1

Parma Calcio 1913 vs Cagliari Calcio Prediction

United Matchday prediction

Parma Calcio 1913 win32%
Draw28%
Cagliari Calcio win40%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
41%
Under 2.5 goals
59%
BTTS yes
47%
Over 1.5 goals
68%
Over 3.5 goals
21%
BTTS no
53%
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.24

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Parma Calcio 1913's home attacking output as weaker than the Serie A baseline. Cagliari Calcio have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Cagliari Calcio arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.2%
  • 0112.1%
  • 1010.6%
  • 009.8%
  • 128.1%
  • 027.5%
  • 217.2%
  • 205.8%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.