Serie A · Matchweek 3

Parma Calcio 1913 vs AC Monza Prediction

Sun 6 Sept, 14:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 6 Sept, 14:00 (BST)
Competition: Serie A
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Parma Calcio 1913 win40%

Draw27%

AC Monza win33%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 45%
Under 2.5 goals: 55%
BTTS yes: 50%

Over 1.5 goals: 71%
Over 3.5 goals: 24%
BTTS no: 50%
Expected goals: 1.32 – 1.16

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Parma Calcio 1913 have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against AC Monza, who have shipped goals above the Serie A average on the road. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–112.8%
1–011.0%
0–19.7%
2–18.5%
0–08.3%
1–27.4%
2–07.3%
0–25.6%

Team comparison

Statistic	Parma Calcio 1913	AC Monza
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.80	0.80
Goals per match	0.80	1.60
Goals conceded per match	1.40	2.40
Home / away goals scored	3	4
Home / away goals conceded	3	8
Last 5 points	4	4
Last 5 goals scored	4	8
Last 5 goals conceded	7	12
Win percentage	20%	20%

Parma Calcio 1913 recent form

LLDLW

AC Monza recent form

LLDLW

Recent form

Parma Calcio 1913

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 7 conceded

Lat Juventus0–2
Lvs Cagliari Calcio0–1
Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio1–0
Lat Como 19070–1
Lvs AS Roma2–3

AC Monza

0W 0D 2L in the last 2 · 3 scored, 7 conceded

Lvs Udinese Calcio2–3
Lat Inter Milan1–4

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 6 Sept, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.