Ligue 1 · Matchweek 8

Paris Saint-Germain vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction

Sun 25 Oct, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 25 Oct, 19:45 (GMT+0)
Kick-off (local): Sun 25 Oct, 20:45 (CET)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 8
Venue: Paris, France

United Matchday prediction

Paris Saint-Germain win22%

Draw25%

Olympique Lyonnais win53%

Predicted score: 0–1
Over 2.5 goals: 47%
Under 2.5 goals: 53%
BTTS yes: 49%

Over 1.5 goals: 73%
Over 3.5 goals: 26%
BTTS no: 51%
Expected goals: 0.96 – 1.61

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Olympique Lyonnais with an above-average away defensive record. Olympique Lyonnais arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

0–112.3%
1–111.8%
0–29.9%
1–29.5%
0–07.7%
1–07.3%
2–15.7%
0–35.3%

Team comparison

Statistic	Paris Saint-Germain	Olympique Lyonnais
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.60	2.20
Goals per match	1.60	2.00
Goals conceded per match	1.40	0.40
Home / away goals scored	1	2
Home / away goals conceded	2	0
Last 5 points	8	11
Last 5 goals scored	8	10
Last 5 goals conceded	7	2
Win percentage	40%	60%

Paris Saint-Germain recent form

DDLWW

Olympique Lyonnais recent form

WDWDW

Recent form

Paris Saint-Germain

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded

Wat Olympique de Marseille2–1
Wat Stade Brestois 291–0
Wvs ŠK Slovan Bratislava6–1
Lvs AS Monaco FC1–2
Dat Lille OSC2–2

Olympique Lyonnais

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 2 conceded

Wvs Stade Rennais FC 19014–0
Dat Paris FC0–0
Wvs AJ Auxerre3–1
Dvs Le Havre AC1–1
Wat Toulouse FC2–0

Team news

Paris Saint-Germain

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Olympique Lyonnais

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Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.