Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7
ES Troyes AC vs Racing Club de Lens Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
ES Troyes AC win21%
Draw21%
Racing Club de Lens win58%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS yes
- 60%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 83%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 40%
- BTTS no
- 40%
- Expected goals
- 1.15 – 2.04
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
ES Troyes AC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.6%
- 0–28.5%
- 0–18.4%
- 1–36.7%
- 0–35.8%
- 2–25.7%
- 2–15.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | ES Troyes AC | Racing Club de Lens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| Goals per match | 0.70 | 1.70 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.70 | 1.50 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 11 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 40% |
ES Troyes AC recent form
LLDWL
Racing Club de Lens recent form
WWWLL
Recent form
ES Troyes AC
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 13 conceded
- Lvs Olympique de Marseille0–2
- Lat Angers SCO0–2
- Lat Lille OSC0–2
- Lvs RC Strasbourg Alsace2–6
- Wat FC Lorient2–1
Racing Club de Lens
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 9 conceded
- Lvs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–2
- Wvs Olympique Lyonnais2–1
- Lat AS Monaco FC1–2
- Dat Le Mans FC2–2
- Wat SK Slavia Praha3–2
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.