Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7

ES Troyes AC vs Racing Club de Lens Prediction

Sat 17 Oct, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 7
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

ES Troyes AC win24%

Draw21%

Racing Club de Lens win55%

Predicted score: 1–2
Over 2.5 goals: 67%
Under 2.5 goals: 33%
BTTS yes: 65%

Over 1.5 goals: 86%
Over 3.5 goals: 45%
BTTS no: 35%
Expected goals: 1.34 – 2.09

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

ES Troyes AC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–29.5%
1–19.1%
0–27.1%
0–16.8%
1–36.6%
2–26.4%
2–16.1%
0–34.9%

Team comparison

Statistic	ES Troyes AC	Racing Club de Lens
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.80	0.80
Goals per match	0.80	1.80
Goals conceded per match	2.20	1.80
Home / away goals scored	2	4
Home / away goals conceded	6	6
Last 5 points	4	4
Last 5 goals scored	4	9
Last 5 goals conceded	11	9
Win percentage	20%	20%

ES Troyes AC recent form

DWLLL

Racing Club de Lens recent form

WLLDL

Recent form

ES Troyes AC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 11 conceded

Lat Angers SCO0–2
Lat Lille OSC0–2
Lvs RC Strasbourg Alsace2–6
Wat FC Lorient2–1
Dvs Paris FC0–0

Racing Club de Lens

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded

Lat AS Monaco FC1–2
Dat Le Mans FC2–2
Wat SK Slavia Praha3–2
Lvs FC Lorient0–1
Lat RC Strasbourg Alsace1–2

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.