Ligue 1 · Matchweek 8

Olympique de Marseille vs Le Havre AC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 25 Oct, 16:15 (GMT+0)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Olympique de Marseille win54%
Draw22%
Le Havre AC win24%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
61%
Under 2.5 goals
39%
BTTS yes
60%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Over 3.5 goals
39%
BTTS no
40%
Expected goals
1.92 – 1.23

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.1%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–08.2%
  • 2–07.9%
  • 3–16.2%
  • 1–26.2%
  • 2–26.0%
  • 0–15.3%

Team comparison

StatisticOlympique de MarseilleLe Havre AC
Matches played55
Points per match0.600.40
Goals per match1.400.80
Goals conceded per match1.601.40
Home / away goals scored73
Home / away goals conceded54
Last 5 points32
Last 5 goals scored74
Last 5 goals conceded87
Win percentage20%0%

Olympique de Marseille recent form

WLLLL

Le Havre AC recent form

LDLDL

Recent form

Olympique de Marseille

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lvs Paris Saint-Germain1–2
  • Lat Stade Rennais FC 19010–1
  • Lvs Paris FC2–3
  • Lat AS Monaco FC0–2
  • Wvs RC Strasbourg Alsace4–0

Le Havre AC

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat Toulouse FC2–3
  • Dvs Angers SCO0–0
  • Lvs Stade Brestois 291–2
  • Dat Olympique Lyonnais1–1
  • Lvs AS Monaco FC0–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 October 2026
Last updated: 4 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
512
1X2 accuracy
47.1%
BTTS accuracy
57.4%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.7%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.