Ligue 1 · Matchweek 8

Angers SCO vs FC Lorient Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 25 Oct, 16:15 (GMT+0)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Angers SCO win37%
Draw29%
FC Lorient win33%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
36%
Under 2.5 goals
64%
BTTS yes
43%
Over 1.5 goals
63%
Over 3.5 goals
17%
BTTS no
57%
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.03

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Angers SCO have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. FC Lorient have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.4%
  • 1–013.0%
  • 0–112.0%
  • 0–011.6%
  • 2–17.5%
  • 2–07.3%
  • 1–26.9%
  • 0–26.2%

Team comparison

StatisticAngers SCOFC Lorient
Matches played55
Points per match1.401.00
Goals per match1.201.00
Goals conceded per match1.001.20
Home / away goals scored32
Home / away goals conceded42
Last 5 points75
Last 5 goals scored65
Last 5 goals conceded56
Win percentage40%20%

Angers SCO recent form

LWLDW

FC Lorient recent form

DLWDL

Recent form

Angers SCO

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs ES Troyes AC2–0
  • Dat Le Havre AC0–0
  • Lvs Stade Rennais FC 19011–2
  • Wat AJ Auxerre3–1
  • Lvs Lille OSC0–2

FC Lorient

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lat Le Mans FC1–2
  • Dvs Toulouse FC2–2
  • Wat Racing Club de Lens1–0
  • Lvs ES Troyes AC1–2
  • Dat OGC Nice0–0

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 October 2026
Last updated: 4 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
512
1X2 accuracy
47.1%
BTTS accuracy
57.4%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.7%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.