Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Olympique Lyonnais
Home
28%
Draw
25%
Away
47%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 51%BTTS: 54%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 3
Paris Saint-Germain vs AS Monaco FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 4 Sept, 20:05 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Fri 4 Sept, 21:05 (CEST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- Paris, France
United Matchday prediction
Paris Saint-Germain win34%
Draw24%
AS Monaco FC win42%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 42%
- BTTS yes
- 61%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 81%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 36%
- BTTS no
- 39%
- Expected goals
- 1.43 – 1.60
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model credits AS Monaco FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. AS Monaco FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 1–28.8%
- 2–17.9%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–06.9%
- 2–26.3%
- 0–26.2%
- 2–04.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Paris Saint-Germain | AS Monaco FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Home / away goals scored | 1 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 2 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 13 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 80% |
Paris Saint-Germain recent form
DDLWW
AS Monaco FC recent form
WWWDW
Recent form
Paris Saint-Germain
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 10 conceded
- Dat Lille OSC2–2
- Dat Stade Rennais FC 19012–2
- Wvs Arsenal FC5–4
- Lat Paris FC1–2
- Wat Racing Club de Lens2–0
AS Monaco FC
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 7 conceded
- Wvs Olympique de Marseille2–0
- Wat Le Havre AC1–0
- Lat RC Strasbourg Alsace4–5
- Lvs Lille OSC0–1
- Wat FC Metz2–1
Team news
Paris Saint-Germain
- JJ Gabriel transfer news: Man Utd wonderkid attracting interest from Real Madrid, Barcelona, PSG, Bayern Munic
- Tough start for PSG but Luis Enrique has faith in burst of ‘new energy’ from signings
- Barcola joins Liverpool from PSG in £123m move
- Liverpool finalise agreement to sign PSG's Barcola in deal worth up to £123 million, reports say
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 4 Sept, 20:05 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 4 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Lille OSC vs Le Havre AC
Home
65%
Draw
19%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 54%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs AJ Auxerre
Home
71%
Draw
15%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 3–1Over 2.5: 82%BTTS: 71%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Angers SCO vs Olympique de Marseille
Home
47%
Draw
28%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 44%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.