Ligue 1 · Matchweek 2

Paris FC vs OGC Nice Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 30 Aug, 14:00 (BST)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Paris FC win43%
Draw30%
OGC Nice win27%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
34%
Under 2.5 goals
66%
BTTS yes
41%
Over 1.5 goals
61%
Over 3.5 goals
16%
BTTS no
59%
Expected goals
1.20 – 0.88

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Paris FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. OGC Nice have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Paris FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. The model expects a lower-scoring game than the competition average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–015.0%
  • 1–113.2%
  • 0–012.5%
  • 0–111.0%
  • 2–09.0%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 1–25.8%
  • 0–24.8%

Team comparison

StatisticParis FCOGC Nice
Matches played55
Points per match2.201.00
Goals per match1.600.60
Goals conceded per match0.601.20
Home / away goals scored50
Home / away goals conceded14
Last 5 points115
Last 5 goals scored83
Last 5 goals conceded36
Win percentage60%20%

Paris FC recent form

DWWDW

OGC Nice recent form

DLDLW

Recent form

Paris FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dat ES Troyes AC0–0
  • Wvs Paris Saint-Germain2–1
  • Lat Stade Rennais FC 19011–2
  • Wvs Stade Brestois 294–0
  • Lvs Lille OSC0–1

OGC Nice

0W 4D 1L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dvs FC Lorient0–0
  • Dvs FC Metz0–0
  • Lat AJ Auxerre1–2
  • Dvs Racing Club de Lens1–1
  • Dat Olympique de Marseille1–1

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 30 Aug, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 30 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.