Ligue 1 · Matchweek 2

Olympique Lyonnais vs Le Havre AC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 29 Aug, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Olympique Lyonnais win66%
Draw20%
Le Havre AC win14%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Under 2.5 goals
48%
BTTS yes
47%
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
BTTS no
53%
Expected goals
1.99 – 0.78

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Olympique Lyonnais's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Recent results also favour Olympique Lyonnais, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.5%
  • 2–012.5%
  • 1–19.7%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 3–08.3%
  • 3–16.4%
  • 0–06.3%
  • 0–14.9%

Team comparison

StatisticOlympique LyonnaisLe Havre AC
Matches played55
Points per match2.200.40
Goals per match2.000.80
Goals conceded per match0.401.40
Home / away goals scored83
Home / away goals conceded24
Last 5 points112
Last 5 goals scored104
Last 5 goals conceded27
Win percentage60%0%

Olympique Lyonnais recent form

WDWDW

Le Havre AC recent form

LDLDL

Recent form

Olympique Lyonnais

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 10 conceded

  • Wat Toulouse FC2–0
  • Lvs Racing Club de Lens0–4
  • Lat Toulouse FC1–2
  • Wvs Stade Rennais FC 19014–2
  • Wvs AJ Auxerre3–2

Le Havre AC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lvs AS Monaco FC0–1
  • Wat FC Lorient2–0
  • Lvs Olympique de Marseille0–1
  • Dat Lille OSC1–1
  • Dvs FC Metz4–4

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 29 Aug, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 29 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.