Ligue 1 · Matchweek 3

Olympique Lyonnais vs AJ Auxerre Prediction

Fri 4 Sept, 18:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Fri 4 Sept, 18:00 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Olympique Lyonnais win70%

Draw16%

AJ Auxerre win14%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 71%
Under 2.5 goals: 29%
BTTS yes: 61%

Over 1.5 goals: 88%
Over 3.5 goals: 50%
BTTS no: 39%
Expected goals: 2.60 – 1.08

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

AJ Auxerre have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Olympique Lyonnais, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–19.2%
2–08.5%
3–18.0%
3–07.4%
1–17.1%
1–06.5%
4–15.2%
2–25.0%

Team comparison

Statistic	Olympique Lyonnais	AJ Auxerre
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	2.20	1.20
Goals per match	2.00	1.40
Goals conceded per match	0.40	2.40
Home / away goals scored	8	3
Home / away goals conceded	2	8
Last 5 points	11	6
Last 5 goals scored	10	7
Last 5 goals conceded	2	12
Win percentage	60%	40%

Olympique Lyonnais recent form

WDWDW

AJ Auxerre recent form

LLLWW

Recent form

Olympique Lyonnais

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 9 conceded

Dvs Le Havre AC1–1
Wat Toulouse FC2–0
Lvs Racing Club de Lens0–4
Lat Toulouse FC1–2
Wvs Stade Rennais FC 19014–2

AJ Auxerre

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 10 conceded

Lvs Angers SCO1–3
Lat Racing Club de Lens2–5
Wat Lille OSC2–0
Wvs OGC Nice2–1
Wvs Angers SCO3–1

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 4 Sept, 18:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.