Ligue 1 · Matchweek 1

Olympique de Marseille vs RC Strasbourg Alsace Prediction

Fri 21 Aug, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Fri 21 Aug, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 1
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Olympique de Marseille win46%

Draw21%

RC Strasbourg Alsace win33%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 74%
Under 2.5 goals: 26%
BTTS yes: 73%

Over 1.5 goals: 90%
Over 3.5 goals: 54%
BTTS no: 27%
Expected goals: 2.12 – 1.77

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Olympique de Marseille, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. RC Strasbourg Alsace's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. RC Strasbourg Alsace arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

2–18.1%
1–17.7%
2–27.2%
1–26.8%
3–15.7%
3–25.1%
2–04.6%
1–04.3%

Team comparison

Statistic	Olympique de Marseille	RC Strasbourg Alsace
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.60	1.40
Goals per match	1.40	2.00
Goals conceded per match	1.60	2.00
Home / away goals scored	7	7
Home / away goals conceded	5	8
Last 5 points	3	7
Last 5 goals scored	7	10
Last 5 goals conceded	8	10
Win percentage	20%	40%

Olympique de Marseille recent form

WLLLL

RC Strasbourg Alsace recent form

LWWDL

Recent form

Olympique de Marseille

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded

Wvs Stade Rennais FC 19013–1
Wat Le Havre AC1–0
Lat FC Nantes0–3
Dvs OGC Nice1–1
Lat FC Lorient0–2

RC Strasbourg Alsace

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 10 conceded

Wvs AS Monaco FC5–4
Wat Stade Brestois 292–1
Dat Angers SCO1–1
Lvs Toulouse FC1–2
Wat FC Lorient3–2

Team news

Olympique de Marseille

Mason Greenwood signs with Fenerbahçe from Marseille

All Olympique de Marseille news →

RC Strasbourg Alsace

No tracked team news threads open.

All RC Strasbourg Alsace news →

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 21 Aug, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.