Ligue 1 · Matchweek 3

OGC Nice vs Le Mans FC Prediction

Sat 5 Sept, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 5 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

OGC Nice win39%

Draw27%

Le Mans FC win34%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 47%
Under 2.5 goals: 53%
BTTS yes: 52%

Over 1.5 goals: 72%
Over 3.5 goals: 25%
BTTS no: 48%
Expected goals: 1.33 – 1.22

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees OGC Nice's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline. Le Mans FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. Le Mans FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams.

Most likely scorelines

1–112.7%
1–010.4%
0–19.5%
2–18.4%
0–07.8%
1–27.7%
2–06.9%
0–25.8%

Team comparison

Statistic	OGC Nice	Le Mans FC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.00	1.20
Goals per match	0.60	1.80
Goals conceded per match	1.20	1.80
Home / away goals scored	3	3
Home / away goals conceded	2	4
Last 5 points	5	6
Last 5 goals scored	3	9
Last 5 goals conceded	6	9
Win percentage	20%	20%

OGC Nice recent form

DLDLW

Le Mans FC recent form

DLDDW

Recent form

OGC Nice

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 6 conceded

Lat Paris FC0–3
Dvs FC Lorient0–0
Dvs FC Metz0–0
Lat AJ Auxerre1–2
Dvs Racing Club de Lens1–1

Le Mans FC

0W 1D 1L in the last 2 · 4 scored, 5 conceded

Lat Stade Rennais FC 19012–3
Dvs Stade Brestois 292–2

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.