Ligue 1 · Matchweek 1

OGC Nice vs FC Lorient Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 22 Aug, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

OGC Nice win24%
Draw26%
FC Lorient win50%
Predicted score
0–1
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Under 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS yes
47%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Over 3.5 goals
23%
BTTS no
53%
Expected goals
0.94 – 1.50

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees OGC Nice's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–113.1%
  • 1–112.3%
  • 0–29.8%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 0–08.7%
  • 1–08.2%
  • 2–15.8%
  • 0–34.9%

Team comparison

StatisticOGC NiceFC Lorient
Matches played55
Points per match1.001.00
Goals per match0.601.00
Goals conceded per match1.201.20
Home / away goals scored32
Home / away goals conceded22
Last 5 points55
Last 5 goals scored35
Last 5 goals conceded66
Win percentage20%20%

OGC Nice recent form

DLDLW

FC Lorient recent form

DLWDL

Recent form

OGC Nice

0W 4D 1L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dvs FC Metz0–0
  • Lat AJ Auxerre1–2
  • Dvs Racing Club de Lens1–1
  • Dat Olympique de Marseille1–1
  • Dat Lille OSC0–0

FC Lorient

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lvs Le Havre AC0–2
  • Wat FC Metz4–0
  • Dat Paris Saint-Germain2–2
  • Lvs RC Strasbourg Alsace2–3
  • Wvs Olympique de Marseille2–0

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 22 Aug, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.