Ligue 1 · Matchweek 9

Lille OSC vs Racing Club de Lens Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 30 Oct, 20:05 (GMT+0)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Lille OSC win59%
Draw21%
Racing Club de Lens win20%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Under 2.5 goals
38%
BTTS yes
59%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Over 3.5 goals
40%
BTTS no
41%
Expected goals
2.08 – 1.13

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects fewer away goals given Lille OSC's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Lille OSC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–19.5%
  • 2–08.7%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 3–16.8%
  • 3–06.1%
  • 2–25.6%
  • 1–25.4%

Team comparison

StatisticLille OSCRacing Club de Lens
Matches played56
Points per match2.001.17
Goals per match1.601.83
Goals conceded per match0.801.67
Home / away goals scored44
Home / away goals conceded26
Last 5 points104
Last 5 goals scored86
Last 5 goals conceded48
Win percentage60%33%

Lille OSC recent form

WDWWL

Racing Club de Lens recent form

LLDLW

Recent form

Lille OSC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat OGC Nice1–2
  • Wvs ES Troyes AC2–0
  • Lvs Real Betis Balompié2–3
  • Wat Toulouse FC1–0
  • Dvs Paris Saint-Germain2–2

Racing Club de Lens

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wvs Olympique Lyonnais2–1
  • Lat AS Monaco FC1–2
  • Dat Le Mans FC2–2
  • Wat SK Slavia Praha3–2
  • Lvs FC Lorient0–1

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 20:05 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 10 October 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
529
1X2 accuracy
46.7%
BTTS accuracy
57.1%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.4%
Exact score
11.0%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.