Ligue 1 · Matchweek 8

AJ Auxerre vs Le Mans FC Prediction

Sun 25 Oct, 16:15

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 25 Oct, 16:15 (GMT+0)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 8
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AJ Auxerre win39%

Draw23%

Le Mans FC win38%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 65%
Under 2.5 goals: 35%
BTTS yes: 66%

Over 1.5 goals: 85%
Over 3.5 goals: 43%
BTTS no: 34%
Expected goals: 1.69 – 1.67

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–19.8%
2–18.3%
1–28.2%
2–26.9%
1–05.8%
0–15.8%
2–05.0%
0–24.8%

Team comparison

Statistic	AJ Auxerre	Le Mans FC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.20	1.20
Goals per match	1.40	1.80
Goals conceded per match	2.40	1.80
Home / away goals scored	4	3
Home / away goals conceded	4	4
Last 5 points	6	6
Last 5 goals scored	7	9
Last 5 goals conceded	12	9
Win percentage	40%	20%

AJ Auxerre recent form

LLLWW

Le Mans FC recent form

DLDDW

Recent form

AJ Auxerre

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 12 conceded

Wvs Stade Brestois 292–1
Wvs OGC Nice1–0
Lat Olympique Lyonnais1–3
Lvs Angers SCO1–3
Lat Racing Club de Lens2–5

Le Mans FC

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded

Wvs FC Lorient2–1
Dvs Racing Club de Lens2–2
Dat OGC Nice1–1
Lat Stade Rennais FC 19012–3
Dvs Stade Brestois 292–2

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.