Ligue 1 · Matchweek 2

Lille OSC vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction

Fri 28 Aug, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Fri 28 Aug, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 2
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Lille OSC win56%

Draw22%

Paris Saint-Germain win22%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 59%
Under 2.5 goals: 41%
BTTS yes: 58%

Over 1.5 goals: 81%
Over 3.5 goals: 37%
BTTS no: 42%
Expected goals: 1.94 – 1.13

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Lille OSC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Lille OSC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–110.2%
2–19.9%
1–09.0%
2–08.7%
3–16.4%
1–25.8%
3–05.6%
2–25.6%

Team comparison

Statistic	Lille OSC	Paris Saint-Germain
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	2.00	1.60
Goals per match	1.60	1.60
Goals conceded per match	0.80	1.40
Home / away goals scored	4	7
Home / away goals conceded	2	5
Last 5 points	10	8
Last 5 goals scored	8	8
Last 5 goals conceded	4	7
Win percentage	60%	40%

Lille OSC recent form

WDWWL

Paris Saint-Germain recent form

DDLWW

Recent form

Lille OSC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 3 conceded

Wat Angers SCO2–0
Lvs AJ Auxerre0–2
Wat AS Monaco FC1–0
Dvs Le Havre AC1–1
Wat Paris FC1–0

Paris Saint-Germain

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 8 conceded

Dat Stade Rennais FC 19012–2
Wvs Arsenal FC5–4
Lat Paris FC1–2
Wat Racing Club de Lens2–0
Wvs Stade Brestois 291–0

Team news

Lille OSC

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Paris Saint-Germain

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Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 28 Aug, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.