Ligue 1 · Matchweek 1

Le Mans FC vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 22 Aug, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Le Mans FC win66%
Draw20%
Stade Brestois 29 win14%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Under 2.5 goals
42%
BTTS yes
52%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Over 3.5 goals
36%
BTTS no
48%
Expected goals
2.13 – 0.88

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Stade Brestois 29 have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–011.2%
  • 1–010.5%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–19.2%
  • 3–07.9%
  • 3–17.0%
  • 0–04.9%
  • 2–24.3%

Team comparison

StatisticLe Mans FCStade Brestois 29
Matches played55
Points per match1.201.00
Goals per match1.801.40
Goals conceded per match1.801.60
Home / away goals scored65
Home / away goals conceded55
Last 5 points65
Last 5 goals scored97
Last 5 goals conceded98
Win percentage20%20%

Le Mans FC recent form

DLDDW

Stade Brestois 29 recent form

DDWLL

Recent form

Le Mans FC

No recent completed fixtures on record.

Stade Brestois 29

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 11 conceded

  • Dvs Angers SCO1–1
  • Lvs RC Strasbourg Alsace1–2
  • Lat Paris Saint-Germain0–1
  • Lat Paris FC0–4
  • Dvs Racing Club de Lens3–3

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 22 Aug, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.