Ligue 1 · Matchweek 3

Le Havre AC vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction

Sat 5 Sept, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 5 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Le Havre AC win36%

Draw26%

Stade Brestois 29 win38%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 49%
Under 2.5 goals: 51%
BTTS yes: 53%

Over 1.5 goals: 74%
Over 3.5 goals: 27%
BTTS no: 47%
Expected goals: 1.29 – 1.34

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Le Havre AC's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline. Stade Brestois 29 carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–112.5%
0–19.7%
1–09.3%
1–28.4%
2–18.0%
0–07.2%
0–26.5%
2–06.0%

Team comparison

Statistic	Le Havre AC	Stade Brestois 29
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.40	1.00
Goals per match	0.80	1.40
Goals conceded per match	1.40	1.60
Home / away goals scored	1	5
Home / away goals conceded	3	5
Last 5 points	2	5
Last 5 goals scored	4	7
Last 5 goals conceded	7	8
Win percentage	0%	20%

Le Havre AC recent form

LDLDL

Stade Brestois 29 recent form

DDWLL

Recent form

Le Havre AC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 4 conceded

Dat Olympique Lyonnais1–1
Lvs AS Monaco FC0–1
Wat FC Lorient2–0
Lvs Olympique de Marseille0–1
Dat Lille OSC1–1

Stade Brestois 29

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 8 conceded

Dvs Toulouse FC2–2
Dat Le Mans FC2–2
Dvs Angers SCO1–1
Lvs RC Strasbourg Alsace1–2
Lat Paris Saint-Germain0–1

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.