Ligue 1
Lille OSC vs Le Havre AC
Home
65%
Draw
19%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 54%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 9
Le Havre AC vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Le Havre AC win22%
Draw25%
Paris Saint-Germain win53%
- Predicted score
- 0–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 55%
- BTTS yes
- 47%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 71%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 23%
- BTTS no
- 53%
- Expected goals
- 0.90 – 1.56
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Le Havre AC's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline. Paris Saint-Germain carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.3%
- 1–112.0%
- 0–210.4%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–08.5%
- 1–07.7%
- 0–35.4%
- 2–15.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Le Havre AC | Paris Saint-Germain |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Home / away goals scored | 1 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 2 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 0% | 40% |
Le Havre AC recent form
LDLDL
Paris Saint-Germain recent form
DDLWW
Recent form
Le Havre AC
0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded
- Lat Toulouse FC2–3
- Dvs Angers SCO0–0
- Lvs Stade Brestois 291–2
- Dat Olympique Lyonnais1–1
- Lvs AS Monaco FC0–1
Paris Saint-Germain
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat Olympique de Marseille2–1
- Wat Stade Brestois 291–0
- Wvs ŠK Slovan Bratislava6–1
- Lvs AS Monaco FC1–2
- Dat Lille OSC2–2
Team news
Paris Saint-Germain
- JJ Gabriel transfer news: Man Utd wonderkid attracting interest from Real Madrid, Barcelona, PSG, Bayern Munic
- Tough start for PSG but Luis Enrique has faith in burst of ‘new energy’ from signings
- Barcola joins Liverpool from PSG in £123m move
- Liverpool finalise agreement to sign PSG's Barcola in deal worth up to £123 million, reports say
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 9 October 2026
Last updated: 9 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 522
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.3%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 11.1%
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.