Ligue 1 · Matchweek 1

Le Havre AC vs AS Monaco FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 23 Aug, 16:15 (BST)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Le Havre AC win57%
Draw22%
AS Monaco FC win20%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Under 2.5 goals
44%
BTTS yes
55%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Over 3.5 goals
34%
BTTS no
45%
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.04

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.4%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–09.5%
  • 3–16.3%
  • 3–06.0%
  • 0–15.5%
  • 1–25.4%

Team comparison

StatisticLe Havre ACAS Monaco FC
Matches played55
Points per match0.402.60
Goals per match0.801.60
Goals conceded per match1.400.60
Home / away goals scored14
Home / away goals conceded32
Last 5 points213
Last 5 goals scored48
Last 5 goals conceded73
Win percentage0%80%

Le Havre AC recent form

LDLDL

AS Monaco FC recent form

WWWDW

Recent form

Le Havre AC

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wat FC Lorient2–0
  • Lvs Olympique de Marseille0–1
  • Dat Lille OSC1–1
  • Dvs FC Metz4–4
  • Dat Angers SCO1–1

AS Monaco FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat RC Strasbourg Alsace4–5
  • Lvs Lille OSC0–1
  • Wat FC Metz2–1
  • Dat Toulouse FC2–2
  • Dvs AJ Auxerre2–2

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 23 Aug, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 23 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.