Serie A · Matchweek 2

Juventus vs Parma Calcio 1913 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 29 Aug, 19:45 (BST)
Kick-off (local)
Sat 29 Aug, 20:45 (CEST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
Turin, Italy

United Matchday prediction

Juventus win59%
Draw25%
Parma Calcio 1913 win15%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
38%
Under 2.5 goals
62%
BTTS yes
38%
Over 1.5 goals
65%
Over 3.5 goals
19%
BTTS no
62%
Expected goals
1.57 – 0.66

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Juventus's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Recent results also favour Juventus, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–016.9%
  • 2–013.3%
  • 1–111.1%
  • 0–010.8%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 0–17.1%
  • 3–06.9%
  • 3–14.6%

Team comparison

StatisticJuventusParma Calcio 1913
Matches played55
Points per match2.000.80
Goals per match1.600.80
Goals conceded per match0.801.40
Home / away goals scored51
Home / away goals conceded14
Last 5 points104
Last 5 goals scored84
Last 5 goals conceded47
Win percentage60%20%

Juventus recent form

WWDLW

Parma Calcio 1913 recent form

LLDLW

Recent form

Juventus

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wat Frosinone Calcio1–0
  • Dat Torino FC2–2
  • Lvs ACF Fiorentina0–2
  • Wat US Lecce1–0
  • Dvs Hellas Verona FC1–1

Parma Calcio 1913

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lvs Cagliari Calcio0–1
  • Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio1–0
  • Lat Como 19070–1
  • Lvs AS Roma2–3
  • Lat Inter Milan0–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 29 Aug, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 29 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.