Bundesliga · Matchweek 9

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction

Fri 6 Nov, 19:30

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Fri 6 Nov, 19:30 (GMT+0)
Competition: Bundesliga
Round: Matchweek 9
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Hamburger SV win54%

Draw20%

Borussia Mönchengladbach win25%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 71%
Under 2.5 goals: 29%
BTTS yes: 69%

Over 1.5 goals: 88%
Over 3.5 goals: 50%
BTTS no: 31%
Expected goals: 2.21 – 1.47

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Hamburger SV's home attacking output as weaker than the Bundesliga baseline. Borussia Mönchengladbach have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–19.0%
1–18.2%
3–16.7%
2–26.7%
2–06.1%
1–26.0%
1–05.6%
3–24.9%

Team comparison

Statistic	Hamburger SV	Borussia Mönchengladbach
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.20	0.00
Goals per match	1.00	1.40
Goals conceded per match	3.00	3.60
Home / away goals scored	2	1
Home / away goals conceded	6	10
Last 5 points	6	0
Last 5 goals scored	5	7
Last 5 goals conceded	15	18
Win percentage	40%	0%

Hamburger SV recent form

LLLWW

Borussia Mönchengladbach recent form

LLLLL

Recent form

Hamburger SV

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 15 conceded

Wat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–2
Wvs 1. FC Köln2–1
Lat RB Leipzig0–5
Lvs 1. FSV Mainz 050–5
Lat Borussia Dortmund0–2

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 18 conceded

Lat 1. FC Köln1–2
Lvs 1. FSV Mainz 053–4
Lat SC Freiburg0–5
Lvs SV 07 Elversberg3–4
Lat RB Leipzig0–3

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 19:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.