Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
Home
16%
Draw
18%
Away
67%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 6
Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Hamburger SV win28%
Draw20%
VfB Stuttgart win51%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 75%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 25%
- BTTS yes
- 72%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 90%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 54%
- BTTS no
- 28%
- Expected goals
- 1.65 – 2.24
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Hamburger SV have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–28.5%
- 1–17.6%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–36.3%
- 2–16.2%
- 2–35.2%
- 0–25.1%
- 0–14.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Hamburger SV | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals per match | 1.11 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.22 | 1.67 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 8 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 44% |
Hamburger SV recent form
WWLLW
VfB Stuttgart recent form
WLLWW
Recent form
Hamburger SV
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 15 conceded
- Wat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–2
- Wvs 1. FC Köln2–1
- Lat RB Leipzig0–5
- Lvs 1. FSV Mainz 050–5
- Lat Borussia Dortmund0–2
VfB Stuttgart
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 4 conceded
- Wat ŠK Slovan Bratislava3–0
- Wat SC Paderborn 072–0
- Lvs Borussia Dortmund0–1
- Lat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1–2
- Wvs Viking FK3–1
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
33%
Draw
20%
Away
46%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 77%BTTS: 75%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Home
65%
Draw
18%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 72%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
Home
13%
Draw
15%
Away
71%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.