Bundesliga · Matchweek 7

SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV Prediction

Sat 24 Oct, 14:30

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 24 Oct, 14:30 (BST)
Competition: Bundesliga
Round: Matchweek 7
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SC Paderborn 07 win72%

Draw17%

Hamburger SV win11%

Predicted score: 2–0
Over 2.5 goals: 61%
Under 2.5 goals: 39%
BTTS yes: 49%

Over 1.5 goals: 82%
Over 3.5 goals: 38%
BTTS no: 51%
Expected goals: 2.36 – 0.78

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees SC Paderborn 07's home attacking output as weaker than the Bundesliga baseline. Hamburger SV have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–012.0%
1–010.2%
3–09.4%
2–19.4%
1–18.0%
3–17.4%
4–05.6%
4–14.4%

Team comparison

Statistic	SC Paderborn 07	Hamburger SV
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	1.00	0.75
Goals per match	0.75	0.50
Goals conceded per match	1.25	3.25
Home / away goals scored	3	0
Home / away goals conceded	2	7
Last 5 points	4	3
Last 5 goals scored	3	2
Last 5 goals conceded	5	13
Win percentage	25%	25%

SC Paderborn 07 recent form

DLLW

Hamburger SV recent form

LLLW

Recent form

SC Paderborn 07

1W 1D 2L in the last 4 · 3 scored, 5 conceded

Wvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–1
Lat Borussia Dortmund0–3
Lvs SC Freiburg0–1
Dat 1. FSV Mainz 050–0

Hamburger SV

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 14 conceded

Wvs 1. FC Köln2–1
Lat RB Leipzig0–5
Lvs 1. FSV Mainz 050–5
Lat Borussia Dortmund0–2
Dat Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–1

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.