Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
Home
16%
Draw
18%
Away
67%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 6
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 18 Oct, 14:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win57%
Draw20%
SC Freiburg win23%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 31%
- BTTS yes
- 66%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 87%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 48%
- BTTS no
- 34%
- Expected goals
- 2.21 – 1.37
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Bayer 04 Leverkusen, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model credits SC Freiburg with an above-average away defensive record. SC Freiburg carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.3%
- 1–18.4%
- 3–16.9%
- 2–06.8%
- 2–26.4%
- 1–06.2%
- 1–25.8%
- 3–05.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 1.78 | 2.11 |
| Goals per match | 2.22 | 2.22 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.89 | 1.11 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 67% |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen recent form
WWLLW
SC Freiburg recent form
WLLWW
Recent form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 8 conceded
- Wat 1. FSV Mainz 054–3
- Wvs RB Leipzig2–0
- Dat FC Augsburg2–2
- Wvs 1. FC Union Berlin4–0
- Lat SV 07 Elversberg2–3
SC Freiburg
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs FC Schalke 042–1
- Dat Eintracht Frankfurt2–2
- Wvs Borussia Mönchengladbach5–0
- Wat SC Paderborn 071–0
- Wvs SV Werder Bremen4–1
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
33%
Draw
20%
Away
46%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 77%BTTS: 75%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Home
65%
Draw
18%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 72%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
Home
13%
Draw
15%
Away
71%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.