Bundesliga
FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
32%
Draw
23%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 6
Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 17:30 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sat 17 Oct, 18:30 (CEST)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- Munich, Germany
United Matchday prediction
Bayern Munich win89%
Draw7%
RB Leipzig win4%
- Predicted score
- 4–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 87%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 13%
- BTTS yes
- 60%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 96%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 73%
- BTTS no
- 40%
- Expected goals
- 4.09 – 0.93
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Bayern Munich, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model expects fewer away goals given Bayern Munich's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Bayern Munich, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 4–07.9%
- 3–07.7%
- 4–17.3%
- 3–17.2%
- 5–06.4%
- 5–16.0%
- 2–05.7%
- 2–15.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Bayern Munich | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 4 | 4 |
| Points per match | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals per match | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.50 | 1.25 |
| Home / away goals scored | 12 | 1 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 14 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 2 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 75% | 50% |
Bayern Munich recent form
WDWW
RB Leipzig recent form
WLWL
Recent form
Bayern Munich
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 19 scored, 2 conceded
- Wvs 1. FC Union Berlin7–0
- Wat SV 07 Elversberg2–1
- Wvs FK Bodø/Glimt5–0
- Dat FC Schalke 040–0
- Wvs VfB Stuttgart5–1
RB Leipzig
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 9 conceded
- Lat Bayer 04 Leverkusen0–2
- Wvs Hamburger SV5–0
- Lat Como 19071–4
- Lat SV Werder Bremen1–3
- Wvs Borussia Mönchengladbach3–0
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart
Home
37%
Draw
21%
Away
42%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg
Home
57%
Draw
20%
Away
23%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 66%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.