Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
Home
16%
Draw
18%
Away
67%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 6
Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 17:30 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sat 17 Oct, 18:30 (CEST)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- Munich, Germany
United Matchday prediction
Bayern Munich win86%
Draw8%
RB Leipzig win5%
- Predicted score
- 3–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 87%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 13%
- BTTS yes
- 64%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 96%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 73%
- BTTS no
- 36%
- Expected goals
- 3.97 – 1.05
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Bayern Munich, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model expects fewer away goals given Bayern Munich's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 3–17.4%
- 4–17.3%
- 3–07.0%
- 4–06.9%
- 5–15.8%
- 2–15.6%
- 5–05.5%
- 2–05.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Bayern Munich | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| Goals per match | 3.22 | 3.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.44 |
| Home / away goals scored | 20 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 11 |
| Last 5 points | 11 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 15 | 18 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 67% | 67% |
Bayern Munich recent form
DWWDW
RB Leipzig recent form
WLWWW
Recent form
Bayern Munich
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 19 scored, 6 conceded
- Dat Viking FK3–3
- Dat FC Augsburg2–2
- Wvs 1. FC Union Berlin7–0
- Wat SV 07 Elversberg2–1
- Wvs FK Bodø/Glimt5–0
RB Leipzig
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 6 conceded
- Wvs PSV1–0
- Wvs Eintracht Frankfurt6–0
- Lat Bayer 04 Leverkusen0–2
- Wvs Hamburger SV5–0
- Lat Como 19071–4
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
33%
Draw
20%
Away
46%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 77%BTTS: 75%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Home
65%
Draw
18%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 72%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
Home
13%
Draw
15%
Away
71%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.