Bundesliga · Matchweek 6

SV Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 (BST)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 6
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SV Werder Bremen win64%
Draw20%
SC Paderborn 07 win17%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Under 2.5 goals
37%
BTTS yes
58%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 3.5 goals
41%
BTTS no
42%
Expected goals
2.21 – 1.05

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits SC Paderborn 07 with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–09.4%
  • 1–18.9%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 3–17.2%
  • 3–06.9%
  • 2–25.2%
  • 1–24.7%

Team comparison

StatisticSV Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
Matches played44
Points per match1.751.00
Goals per match2.000.75
Goals conceded per match2.001.25
Home / away goals scored60
Home / away goals conceded33
Last 5 points74
Last 5 goals scored83
Last 5 goals conceded85
Win percentage50%25%

SV Werder Bremen recent form

LWDW

SC Paderborn 07 recent form

DLLW

Recent form

SV Werder Bremen

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 10 conceded

  • Wvs FC Augsburg3–2
  • Dat 1. FC Köln1–1
  • Wvs RB Leipzig3–1
  • Lat SC Freiburg1–4
  • Lvs Borussia Dortmund0–2

SC Paderborn 07

1W 1D 2L in the last 4 · 3 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–1
  • Lat Borussia Dortmund0–3
  • Lvs SC Freiburg0–1
  • Dat 1. FSV Mainz 050–0

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.