Bundesliga · Matchweek 6

SV Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 (BST)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 6
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SV Werder Bremen win65%
Draw20%
SC Paderborn 07 win15%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Under 2.5 goals
40%
BTTS yes
54%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Over 3.5 goals
38%
BTTS no
46%
Expected goals
2.16 – 0.95

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits SC Paderborn 07 with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–010.5%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–09.7%
  • 1–19.2%
  • 3–07.5%
  • 3–17.1%
  • 2–24.7%
  • 0–04.5%

Team comparison

StatisticSV Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
Matches played99
Points per match1.671.11
Goals per match1.890.89
Goals conceded per match1.671.22
Home / away goals scored102
Home / away goals conceded55
Last 5 points86
Last 5 goals scored95
Last 5 goals conceded76
Win percentage44%22%

SV Werder Bremen recent form

DDWWL

SC Paderborn 07 recent form

LDWDD

Recent form

SV Werder Bremen

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 10 conceded

  • Dat Borussia Dortmund2–2
  • Wvs FC Augsburg3–2
  • Dat 1. FC Köln1–1
  • Wvs RB Leipzig3–1
  • Lat SC Freiburg1–4

SC Paderborn 07

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lvs VfB Stuttgart0–2
  • Wvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–1
  • Lat Borussia Dortmund0–3
  • Lvs SC Freiburg0–1
  • Dat 1. FSV Mainz 050–0

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.