Serie A · Matchweek 8

Genoa CFC vs Venezia FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 (GMT+0)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Genoa CFC win40%
Draw26%
Venezia FC win34%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
BTTS yes
55%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Over 3.5 goals
28%
BTTS no
45%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.28

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Genoa CFC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Venezia FC, who have shipped goals above the Serie A average on the road. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 0–18.7%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–27.9%
  • 0–06.8%
  • 2–06.7%
  • 0–25.6%

Team comparison

StatisticGenoa CFCVenezia FC
Matches played55
Points per match0.200.00
Goals per match0.600.80
Goals conceded per match2.002.60
Home / away goals scored22
Home / away goals conceded75
Last 5 points10
Last 5 goals scored34
Last 5 goals conceded1013
Win percentage0%0%

Genoa CFC recent form

LLLDL

Venezia FC recent form

LLLLL

Recent form

Genoa CFC

0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lat Parma Calcio 19131–2
  • Dvs Frosinone Calcio1–1
  • Lvs Como 19071–4
  • Lat SS Lazio0–1
  • Lvs SSC Napoli0–2

Venezia FC

0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 13 conceded

  • Lvs SS Lazio0–2
  • Lvs ACF Fiorentina2–4
  • Lat Frosinone Calcio2–3
  • Lat AC Milan0–2
  • Lvs US Lecce0–2

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 October 2026
Last updated: 4 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
512
1X2 accuracy
47.1%
BTTS accuracy
57.4%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.7%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.