Serie A · Matchweek 1

Genoa CFC vs SSC Napoli Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 22 Aug, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Genoa CFC win13%
Draw23%
SSC Napoli win65%
Predicted score
0–1
Over 2.5 goals
41%
Under 2.5 goals
59%
BTTS yes
37%
Over 1.5 goals
68%
Over 3.5 goals
21%
BTTS no
63%
Expected goals
0.61 – 1.73

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Genoa CFC's home attacking output as weaker than the Serie A baseline. The model credits SSC Napoli with an above-average away defensive record. SSC Napoli carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. SSC Napoli arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–116.7%
  • 0–214.5%
  • 1–110.1%
  • 0–09.7%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 0–38.3%
  • 1–05.9%
  • 1–35.1%

Team comparison

StatisticGenoa CFCSSC Napoli
Matches played55
Points per match0.201.40
Goals per match0.601.40
Goals conceded per match2.001.20
Home / away goals scored25
Home / away goals conceded74
Last 5 points17
Last 5 goals scored37
Last 5 goals conceded106
Win percentage0%40%

Genoa CFC recent form

LLLDL

SSC Napoli recent form

WLLWD

Recent form

Genoa CFC

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 1 scored, 5 conceded

  • Lat US Lecce0–1
  • Lvs AC Milan1–2
  • Dat ACF Fiorentina0–0
  • Dat Atalanta BC0–0
  • Lvs Como 19070–2

SSC Napoli

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wvs Udinese Calcio1–0
  • Wat AC Pisa 19093–0
  • Lvs Bologna FC 19092–3
  • Dat Como 19070–0
  • Wvs US Cremonese4–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 22 Aug, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.