Serie A · Matchweek 1

Genoa CFC vs SSC Napoli Prediction

United Matchday prediction

Genoa CFC win13%
Draw23%
SSC Napoli win65%
Predicted score
0–1
Over 2.5 goals
41%
Under 2.5 goals
59%
BTTS yes
37%
Over 1.5 goals
68%
Over 3.5 goals
21%
BTTS no
63%
Expected goals
0.61 – 1.73

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Genoa CFC's home attacking output as weaker than the Serie A baseline. The model credits SSC Napoli with an above-average away defensive record. SSC Napoli carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. SSC Napoli arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0116.7%
  • 0214.5%
  • 1110.1%
  • 009.7%
  • 128.8%
  • 038.3%
  • 105.9%
  • 135.1%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.