Serie A · Matchweek 3

Genoa CFC vs Como 1907 Prediction

Fri 4 Sept, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Fri 4 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Serie A
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Genoa CFC win16%

Draw24%

Como 1907 win61%

Predicted score: 0–1
Over 2.5 goals: 43%
Under 2.5 goals: 57%
BTTS yes: 42%

Over 1.5 goals: 69%
Over 3.5 goals: 22%
BTTS no: 58%
Expected goals: 0.72 – 1.69

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Genoa CFC's home attacking output as weaker than the Serie A baseline. Como 1907 arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

0–115.1%
0–212.8%
1–110.9%
1–29.2%
0–08.9%
0–37.2%
1–06.5%
1–35.2%

Team comparison

Statistic	Genoa CFC	Como 1907
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.20	2.00
Goals per match	0.60	1.80
Goals conceded per match	2.00	1.20
Home / away goals scored	2	7
Home / away goals conceded	7	5
Last 5 points	1	10
Last 5 goals scored	3	9
Last 5 goals conceded	10	6
Win percentage	0%	60%

Genoa CFC recent form

LLLDL

Como 1907 recent form

DWWWL

Recent form

Genoa CFC

0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 1 scored, 6 conceded

Lat SS Lazio0–1
Lvs SSC Napoli0–2
Lat US Lecce0–1
Lvs AC Milan1–2
Dat ACF Fiorentina0–0

Como 1907

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 3 conceded

Wat SSC Napoli2–1
Dat Udinese Calcio1–1
Wat US Cremonese4–1
Wvs Parma Calcio 19131–0
Wat Hellas Verona FC1–0

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 4 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.