Serie A · Matchweek 3

Frosinone Calcio vs Venezia FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 6 Sept, 14:00 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Frosinone Calcio win50%
Draw28%
Venezia FC win22%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
38%
Under 2.5 goals
62%
BTTS yes
42%
Over 1.5 goals
65%
Over 3.5 goals
18%
BTTS no
58%
Expected goals
1.39 – 0.83

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Frosinone Calcio's home attacking output as weaker than the Serie A baseline. Venezia FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given Frosinone Calcio's home defensive numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–015.1%
  • 1–112.5%
  • 0–010.9%
  • 2–010.5%
  • 0–19.1%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 1–25.2%
  • 3–04.8%

Team comparison

StatisticFrosinone CalcioVenezia FC
Matches played55
Points per match2.000.00
Goals per match1.800.80
Goals conceded per match0.802.60
Home / away goals scored52
Home / away goals conceded35
Last 5 points100
Last 5 goals scored94
Last 5 goals conceded413
Win percentage60%0%

Frosinone Calcio recent form

LWWDW

Venezia FC recent form

LLLLL

Recent form

Frosinone Calcio

1W 0D 1L in the last 2 · 3 scored, 1 conceded

  • Wat ACF Fiorentina3–0
  • Lvs Juventus0–1

Venezia FC

0W 0D 2L in the last 2 · 0 scored, 4 conceded

  • Lat AC Milan0–2
  • Lvs US Lecce0–2

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 6 Sept, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 6 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.