Ligue 1 · Matchweek 2

FC Lorient vs ES Troyes AC Prediction

Sat 29 Aug, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 29 Aug, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 2
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Lorient win42%

Draw30%

ES Troyes AC win28%

Predicted score: 1–0
Over 2.5 goals: 35%
Under 2.5 goals: 65%
BTTS yes: 41%

Over 1.5 goals: 62%
Over 3.5 goals: 16%
BTTS no: 59%
Expected goals: 1.18 – 0.90

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees FC Lorient's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline. The model credits ES Troyes AC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given FC Lorient's home defensive numbers. Both defensive records point toward a tighter, lower-scoring fixture.

Most likely scorelines

1–014.7%
1–113.3%
0–012.5%
0–111.2%
2–08.7%
2–17.8%
1–26.0%
0–25.1%

Team comparison

Statistic	FC Lorient	ES Troyes AC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.00	0.80
Goals per match	1.00	0.80
Goals conceded per match	1.20	2.20
Home / away goals scored	3	2
Home / away goals conceded	4	5
Last 5 points	5	4
Last 5 goals scored	5	4
Last 5 goals conceded	6	11
Win percentage	20%	20%

FC Lorient recent form

DLWDL

ES Troyes AC recent form

DWLLL

Recent form

FC Lorient

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded

Dat OGC Nice0–0
Lvs Le Havre AC0–2
Wat FC Metz4–0
Dat Paris Saint-Germain2–2
Lvs RC Strasbourg Alsace2–3

ES Troyes AC

0W 1D 0L in the last 1 · 0 scored, 0 conceded

Dvs Paris FC0–0

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 29 Aug, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.