Serie A · Matchweek 1

Inter Milan vs AC Monza Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 22 Aug, 17:30 (BST)
Kick-off (local)
Sat 22 Aug, 18:30 (CEST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
Milan, Italy

United Matchday prediction

Inter Milan win77%
Draw14%
AC Monza win10%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
73%
Under 2.5 goals
27%
BTTS yes
58%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
Over 3.5 goals
53%
BTTS no
42%
Expected goals
2.87 – 0.95

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

FC Internazionale Milano have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model expects fewer away goals given FC Internazionale Milano's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour FC Internazionale Milano, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–09.1%
  • 3–08.7%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 3–18.2%
  • 1–06.3%
  • 4–06.2%
  • 1–16.0%
  • 4–15.9%

Team comparison

StatisticInter MilanAC Monza
Matches played55
Points per match2.600.80
Goals per match3.001.60
Goals conceded per match1.602.40
Home / away goals scored124
Home / away goals conceded68
Last 5 points134
Last 5 goals scored158
Last 5 goals conceded812
Win percentage80%20%

Inter Milan recent form

WWWWD

AC Monza recent form

LLDLW

Recent form

Inter Milan

2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dat Bologna FC 19093–3
  • Dvs Hellas Verona FC1–1
  • Wat SS Lazio3–0
  • Wvs Parma Calcio 19132–0
  • Dat Torino FC2–2

AC Monza

No recent completed fixtures on record.

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 22 Aug, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.