Primeira Liga
CF Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia AC
Home
49%
Draw
26%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 46%BTTS: 49%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 11
FC Famalicão vs FC Arouca Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 6 Nov, 20:45 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
FC Famalicão win33%
Draw27%
FC Arouca win40%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 56%
- BTTS yes
- 49%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 70%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 23%
- BTTS no
- 51%
- Expected goals
- 1.14 – 1.29
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees FC Famalicão's home attacking output as weaker than the Primeira Liga baseline. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–111.3%
- 1–010.0%
- 0–08.8%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–17.4%
- 0–27.3%
- 2–05.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | FC Famalicão | FC Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 0.86 | 1.57 |
| Goals per match | 1.29 | 1.43 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.43 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 14% | 43% |
FC Famalicão recent form
DDDWL
FC Arouca recent form
WDLDW
Recent form
FC Famalicão
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded
- Lvs FC Alverca1–4
- Wat CD Nacional4–0
- Dvs Sporting Clube de Portugal1–1
- Dat CF Estrela da Amadora2–2
- Dvs Gil Vicente FC0–0
FC Arouca
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs CF Estrela da Amadora1–0
- Dat Sporting Clube de Portugal2–2
- Lvs CD Santa Clara1–2
- Dat GD Estoril Praia0–0
- Wvs CS Marítimo2–1
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 20:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 16 October 2026
Last updated: 16 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 645
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.1%
- BTTS accuracy
- 56.4%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.9%
- Exact score
- 10.7%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
Moreirense FC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
29%
Draw
22%
Away
49%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga
FC Porto vs GD Estoril Praia
Home
84%
Draw
11%
Away
5%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 67%BTTS: 41%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga
FC Arouca vs CD Nacional
Home
74%
Draw
16%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 63%BTTS: 50%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.