Ligue 1 · Matchweek 3

ES Troyes AC vs RC Strasbourg Alsace Prediction

Sun 6 Sept, 14:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 6 Sept, 14:00 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

ES Troyes AC win59%

Draw23%

RC Strasbourg Alsace win18%

Predicted score: 1–0
Over 2.5 goals: 51%
Under 2.5 goals: 49%
BTTS yes: 49%

Over 1.5 goals: 75%
Over 3.5 goals: 29%
BTTS no: 51%
Expected goals: 1.82 – 0.88

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

ES Troyes AC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against RC Strasbourg Alsace, who have shipped goals above the Ligue 1 average on the road. ES Troyes AC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Recent results also favour ES Troyes AC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

1–012.2%
2–011.1%
1–110.8%
2–19.8%
3–06.7%
0–06.7%
3–15.9%
0–15.9%

Team comparison

Statistic	ES Troyes AC	RC Strasbourg Alsace
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.80	1.40
Goals per match	0.80	2.00
Goals conceded per match	2.20	2.00
Home / away goals scored	2	7
Home / away goals conceded	6	8
Last 5 points	4	7
Last 5 goals scored	4	10
Last 5 goals conceded	11	10
Win percentage	20%	40%

ES Troyes AC recent form

DWLLL

RC Strasbourg Alsace recent form

LWWDL

Recent form

ES Troyes AC

1W 1D 0L in the last 2 · 2 scored, 1 conceded

Wat FC Lorient2–1
Dvs Paris FC0–0

RC Strasbourg Alsace

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 11 conceded

Wvs Racing Club de Lens2–1
Lat Olympique de Marseille0–4
Wvs AS Monaco FC5–4
Wat Stade Brestois 292–1
Dat Angers SCO1–1

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 6 Sept, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.