Ligue 1 · Matchweek 1

ES Troyes AC vs Paris FC Prediction

Sat 22 Aug, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 22 Aug, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 1
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

ES Troyes AC win35%

Draw25%

Paris FC win40%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 54%
Under 2.5 goals: 46%
BTTS yes: 57%

Over 1.5 goals: 78%
Over 3.5 goals: 32%
BTTS no: 43%
Expected goals: 1.36 – 1.48

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Paris FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Paris FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Paris FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

1–111.8%
1–28.7%
0–18.7%
2–18.0%
1–07.9%
0–26.4%
2–25.9%
0–05.9%

Team comparison

Statistic	ES Troyes AC	Paris FC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.80	2.20
Goals per match	0.80	1.60
Goals conceded per match	2.20	0.60
Home / away goals scored	2	3
Home / away goals conceded	6	2
Last 5 points	4	11
Last 5 goals scored	4	8
Last 5 goals conceded	11	3
Win percentage	20%	60%

ES Troyes AC recent form

DWLLL

Paris FC recent form

DWWDW

Recent form

ES Troyes AC

No recent completed fixtures on record.

Paris FC

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 5 conceded

Wvs Paris Saint-Germain2–1
Lat Stade Rennais FC 19011–2
Wvs Stade Brestois 294–0
Lvs Lille OSC0–1
Wat FC Metz3–1

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 22 Aug, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.