Ligue 1 · Matchweek 1

ES Troyes AC vs Paris FC Prediction

United Matchday prediction

ES Troyes AC win35%
Draw25%
Paris FC win40%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Under 2.5 goals
46%
BTTS yes
57%
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Over 3.5 goals
32%
BTTS no
43%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.48

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Paris FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Paris FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Paris FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.8%
  • 128.7%
  • 018.7%
  • 218.0%
  • 107.9%
  • 026.4%
  • 225.9%
  • 005.9%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.