Championship
Birmingham City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
46%
Draw
25%
Away
29%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 52%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 15
Derby County FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 15
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Derby County FC win25%
Draw22%
Bolton Wanderers FC win53%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 36%
- BTTS yes
- 63%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 84%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 42%
- BTTS no
- 37%
- Expected goals
- 1.33 – 1.99
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Derby County FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Bolton Wanderers FC, who have shipped goals above the Championship average on the road. Bolton Wanderers FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.6%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–17.2%
- 0–27.2%
- 2–16.3%
- 1–36.3%
- 2–26.3%
- 1–04.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Derby County FC | Bolton Wanderers FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 0.67 | 1.11 |
| Goals per match | 0.89 | 1.44 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.89 | 1.89 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 11 |
| Last 5 points | 2 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 9 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 11% | 33% |
Derby County FC recent form
LLDDL
Bolton Wanderers FC recent form
LWWLW
Recent form
Derby County FC
0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 9 conceded
- Lat Queens Park Rangers FC1–4
- Dvs Wrexham AFC1–1
- Dat Burnley FC1–1
- Lvs Birmingham City FC1–2
- Lvs West Bromwich Albion FC0–1
Bolton Wanderers FC
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 9 conceded
- Wat Wolverhampton Wanderers FC3–1
- Lvs Stoke City FC1–2
- Wat Norwich City FC4–3
- Wvs Cardiff City FC1–0
- Lvs West Ham United FC2–3
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 16 October 2026
Last updated: 16 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 645
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.1%
- BTTS accuracy
- 56.4%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.9%
- Exact score
- 10.7%
Related predictions
Championship
Wrexham AFC vs Preston North End FC
Home
56%
Draw
24%
Away
20%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 49%BTTS: 49%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC
Home
27%
Draw
23%
Away
50%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 59%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Bolton Wanderers FC vs Middlesbrough FC
Home
27%
Draw
21%
Away
52%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 67%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.