Championship · Matchweek 11

Birmingham City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Birmingham City FC win46%
Draw25%
Queens Park Rangers FC win29%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Under 2.5 goals
48%
BTTS yes
55%
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
BTTS no
45%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.19

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Birmingham City FC have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model credits Queens Park Rangers FC with an above-average away defensive record. Recent results also favour Birmingham City FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 0–17.5%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 0–06.3%
  • 2–25.5%

Team comparison

StatisticBirmingham City FCQueens Park Rangers FC
Matches played1414
Points per match2.001.50
Goals per match2.001.50
Goals conceded per match1.001.21
Home / away goals scored195
Home / away goals conceded810
Last 5 points127
Last 5 goals scored119
Last 5 goals conceded39
Win percentage57%36%

Birmingham City FC recent form

WLWWW

Queens Park Rangers FC recent form

LWLDW

Recent form

Birmingham City FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs Preston North End FC4–0
  • Wat West Bromwich Albion FC1–0
  • Dvs Middlesbrough FC2–2
  • Wat Derby County FC2–1
  • Lat Norwich City FC1–2

Queens Park Rangers FC

1W 4D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs Derby County FC4–1
  • Dat West Ham United FC1–1
  • Dvs Preston North End FC2–2
  • Dat West Bromwich Albion FC1–1
  • Dat Charlton Athletic FC0–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.