Championship · Matchweek 11

Birmingham City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Birmingham City FC win38%
Draw27%
Queens Park Rangers FC win36%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
BTTS yes
52%
Over 1.5 goals
73%
Over 3.5 goals
26%
BTTS no
48%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.26

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Queens Park Rangers FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 0–19.6%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 0–07.6%
  • 2–06.6%
  • 0–26.1%

Team comparison

StatisticBirmingham City FCQueens Park Rangers FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.431.43
Goals per match1.711.00
Goals conceded per match1.570.86
Home / away goals scored73
Home / away goals conceded72
Last 5 points66
Last 5 goals scored85
Last 5 goals conceded85
Win percentage29%29%

Birmingham City FC recent form

DDLWD

Queens Park Rangers FC recent form

WLDDD

Recent form

Birmingham City FC

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded

  • Dvs Middlesbrough FC2–2
  • Wat Derby County FC2–1
  • Lat Norwich City FC1–2
  • Dvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC2–2
  • Dvs Southampton FC1–1

Queens Park Rangers FC

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 5 conceded

  • Dvs Preston North End FC2–2
  • Dat West Bromwich Albion FC1–1
  • Dat Charlton Athletic FC0–0
  • Lvs Middlesbrough FC0–1
  • Wvs Cardiff City FC2–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.